26 0206:15-06-26 2026:15-06-26 10:12:01.000 0206:15-06-26 utf8 0 Oau Text txt Computermedien c Online-Ressource cr 1973031604 OCoLC 1596131404 urn:nbn:fi-fe2026061268415 KXP 1973031604 eng rda 2026 12 June 2026 https://publications.bof.fi/bitstreams/590b0f73-0c89-4de7-9add-f47d68c3e6f9/download application/pdf H LF https://nbn-resolving.org/URN:NBN:fi-fe2026061268415 R LF XA-FI EU-Ukraine economic integration the Finnish stress test Sinikka Parviainen and Maksym Samoiliuk Sinikka Parviainen VerfasserIn aut Maksym Samoiliuk VerfasserIn aut Helsinki Bank of Finland, BOFIT, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies 1 Online-Ressource (circa 25 Seiten) Illustrationen BOFIT policy brief 2026, 6 2026,6 1799634469 Odv zdb/3116380-4 2342-205X BOFIT policy brief Helsinki Bank of Finland, BOFIT - Bank of Finland Institute of Emerging Economies 2021 14.1.2021- 2026, 6 FS Ukraine DE-206 FS EU–Ukraine trade DE-206 FS EU accession DE-206 FS Finland DE-206 FS reconstruction DE-206 34 JEL F15 F21 F22 F52 O52 Ukraine's EU accession is the most economically complex enlargement in recent EU history. It is unfolding amidst conditions of an active war, large-scale reconstruction needs, and rapid evolution of Ukraine's defence sector. This policy brief examines EU-Ukraine economic integration using Finland as a stress test for plausible outcomes in bilateral trade relations with Ukraine. The fact that Finland is an EU member state without geographic proximity or deep historical ties to Ukraine allows identification of structural, rather than geography-driven, complementarities present across key sectors. The analysis finds strong complementarities in digital services, energy, reconstruction, and defence-industrial cooperation. Notably, none of these complementarities are yet reflected in trade and investment flows, which remain limited and concentrated in low-risk activities. Thus, the challenge for policymakers is translating these identified complementarities into investment at scale under conditions of elevated risk, particularly for SME-led projects in the private sector. 26 PICA 15-06-26 15-06-26 09:41:55.000 utf8 15-06-26 7805 0206 4978231450 15-06-26 z1z DS 807 08